Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000609 0.000692 0.000780 0.000879 0.000989 0.001105 0.001238
2025-12-28 0.000494 0.000611 0.000744 0.000904 0.001090 0.001300 0.001553
2026-01-04 0.000428 0.000561 0.000719 0.000918 0.001158 0.001438 0.001786
2026-01-11 0.000368 0.000509 0.000683 0.000910 0.001194 0.001534 0.001969
2026-01-18 0.000319 0.000465 0.000650 0.000899 0.001220 0.001614 0.002130
2026-01-25 0.000288 0.000437 0.000635 0.000907 0.001268 0.001720 0.002324
2026-02-01 0.000259 0.000411 0.000617 0.000910 0.001306 0.001813 0.002502
2026-02-08 0.000224 0.000372 0.000579 0.000881 0.001299 0.001846 0.002602
2026-02-15 0.000196 0.000339 0.000547 0.000858 0.001297 0.001883 0.002706
2026-02-22 0.000177 0.000318 0.000530 0.000853 0.001320 0.001952 0.002853
2026-03-01 0.000161 0.000301 0.000516 0.000853 0.001347 0.002027 0.003009
2026-03-08 0.000145 0.000282 0.000498 0.000843 0.001360 0.002082 0.003137
2026-03-15 0.000129 0.000262 0.000477 0.000829 0.001366 0.002128 0.003257
2026-03-22 0.000122 0.000257 0.000480 0.000852 0.001428 0.002254 0.003489
2026-03-29 0.000115 0.000250 0.000478 0.000865 0.001474 0.002359 0.003696
2026-04-05 0.000104 0.000235 0.000463 0.000858 0.001489 0.002417 0.003836
2026-04-12 0.000094 0.000221 0.000447 0.000847 0.001497 0.002466 0.003962
2026-04-19 0.000087 0.000213 0.000443 0.000855 0.001535 0.002559 0.004155
2026-04-26 0.000081 0.000204 0.000435 0.000858 0.001563 0.002638 0.004328
2026-05-03 0.000071 0.000187 0.000411 0.000830 0.001542 0.002641 0.004388
2026-05-10 0.000062 0.000172 0.000391 0.000808 0.001528 0.002654 0.004463
2026-05-17 0.000057 0.000164 0.000381 0.000804 0.001543 0.002712 0.004606
2026-05-24 0.000052 0.000157 0.000374 0.000803 0.001565 0.002780 0.004765